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Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

25%

chance

$10m Vol.

repeat-3
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

16%

chance

$6m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

48%

chance

$1m Vol.

repeat-3
Super Bowl Champion 2026 card icon

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Seattle

19%

Los Angeles R

17%

Denver

11%

New England

9%

Buffalo

9%

$666m Vol.

17

Rams

83%

14

Panthers

18%

Q3 - 15:00

$8m Vol.

•NFL
4

Stars

87%

3

Sharks

14%

P3 - 06:53

$1m Vol.

•NHL
5

Houston Christian Huskies

2%

19

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

98%

H1 - 13:24

$1m Vol.

•CBB

Packers

55%

Bears

46%

$4m Vol.

•NFL• 5:00 PM

Clippers

47%

Pistons

54%

$1m Vol.

•NBA• 4:30 PM

Texas Tech Red Raiders

70%

Colorado Buffaloes

31%

$871k Vol.

•CBB• 4:00 PM
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

34%

chance

$6m Vol.

repeat-3
US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 11

8%

January 31

55%

March 31

64%

June 30

66%

$6m Vol.

US strike on Mexico by...? card icon

US strike on Mexico by...?

January 31

7%

March 31

21%

December 31

40%

$658k Vol.

ICE shooter charged by March 31? card icon

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

37%

chance

$177k Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? card icon

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

26%

chance

$2m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

32%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

26%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

23%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

9%

André Ventura (CH)

5%

$96m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

43%

Kevin Hassett

38%

Christopher Waller

11%

Rick Rieder

4%

Scott Bessent

2%

$167m Vol.

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? card icon

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

73%

chance

$207k Vol.

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price card icon

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price

>$4m

97%

>$5m

95%

>$6m

90%

>$7m

80%

>$8m

66%

$4m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

4%

No change

96%

25+ bps increase

<1%

$242m Vol.

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Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

28%

Gavin Newsom

20%

Marco Rubio

8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

8%

Donald Trump

3%

$180m Vol.

Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? card icon

Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?

88%

chance

$445k Vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026? card icon

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez

48%

María Corina Machado

23%

Edmundo González

10%

Diosdado Cabello Rondón

6%

Nicolás Maduro

6%

$3m Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? card icon

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

24%

chance

$1m Vol.

repeat-3
//ends

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